SERBIA - GERMANY
The market expects a one-sided afternoon. Germany is the shortest price on a book of 10.29 / 6.72 / 1.26 (1 / X / 2), an implied 76.3%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 9.3% / 14.3% / 76.3% on an overround of 4.0%.
Liquidity is strong — €96,257 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.
Serbia team news: Nemanja Maksimovic and Nemanja Gudelj will both miss Friday's game through one-match bans.
Serbia team news: Andrija Zivkovic, Luka Jovic and Nikola Simic are set to line up for Serbia against Germany.
Germany team news: Serge Gnabry is on the sidelines managing a hamstring issue and will not be in contention for selection during the international window.
Germany team news: Kai Havertz, Joshua Kimmich and Jonathan Tah are expected to feature for Germany on Friday.
Serbia are without 4 — Strahinja Pavlovic (Out - injured), Nemanja Gudelj (Out - suspended), Nemanja Maksimovic (Out - suspended), Aleksa Terzic (Out - injured).
Germany are without 3 — Josha Vagnoman (Out - injured), Mika Baur (Doubtful - injured), Serge Gnabry (Out - injured). Losing Josha Vagnoman (7.01/10) is the kind of absence that moves a price.
Early lineups are in: Serbia set up 4-4-2 against 4-2-3-1. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.
Serbia lean hardest on Filip Kostic (8.6), Andrija Zivkovic (8.6), Srdjan Babic (8.6) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Strahinja Pavlovic is out for Serbia — index 9.5, against 8.9 for the best cover we hold at his position. Noticeable.
Nemanja Gudelj is out for Serbia — index 8.9, against 9.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Nemanja Maksimovic is out for Serbia — index 9.0, against 9.4 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Aleksa Terzic is out for Serbia — index 8.1, against 9.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Germany lean hardest on Philipp Treu (9.5), Florian Wirtz (8.7), Aleksandar Pavlovic (8.7) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Josha Vagnoman is out for Germany — index 6.7, against 8.8 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Serge Gnabry is out for Germany — index 8.3, against 8.6 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
The projected score for this one is Serbia 1 - 2 Germany, an away win by 1 with 3 goals in it — on the right side of the 2.5 line.
The read: Germany at 1.26 is heavily fancied away from home. Backing a favourite at that price only makes sense on the handicap.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 22:30 on 12th November 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.