13th November SERBIA - GERMANY

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• The market expects a one-sided afternoon. Germany is the shortest price on a book of 10.04 / 6.68 / 1.27 (1 / X / 2), an implied 76.0%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 9.6% / 14.4% / 76.0% on an overround of 3.7%.

• Serbia are without 4 — Strahinja Pavlovic (Out - injured), Nemanja Gudelj (Out - suspended), Nemanja Maksimovic (Out - suspended), Aleksa Terzic (Out - injured).

• Germany are without 3 — Josha Vagnoman (Out - injured), Mika Baur (Doubtful - injured), Serge Gnabry (Out - injured). Losing Josha Vagnoman (7.01/10) is the kind of absence that moves a price.

• Early lineups are in: Serbia set up 4-4-2 against 4-2-3-1. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.

• Serbia lean hardest on Filip Kostic (8.6), Andrija Zivkovic (8.6), Srdjan Babic (8.6) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Strahinja Pavlovic is out for Serbia — index 9.5, against 8.9 for the best cover we hold at his position. Noticeable.

• Nemanja Gudelj is out for Serbia — index 8.9, against 9.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Nemanja Maksimovic is out for Serbia — index 9.0, against 9.4 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Aleksa Terzic is out for Serbia — index 8.1, against 9.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Germany lean hardest on Philipp Treu (9.5), Florian Wirtz (8.7), Aleksandar Pavlovic (8.7) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Josha Vagnoman is out for Germany — index 6.7, against 8.8 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Serge Gnabry is out for Germany — index 8.3, against 8.6 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• The projected score for this one is Serbia 1 - 2 Germany, an away win by 1 with 3 goals in it — on the right side of the 2.5 line.

• The read: Germany at 1.27 is heavily fancied away from home. Backing a favourite at that price only makes sense on the handicap.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 12th November 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.