ATLETICO NACIONAL - DEPORTIVO PASTO
The market expects a one-sided afternoon. Atletico Nacional is the shortest price on a book of 1.29 / 5.00 / 13.43 (1 / X / 2), an implied 73.9%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 73.9% / 19.1% / 7.1% on an overround of 5.0%.
The goals market is priced 1.87 under 2.5 / 1.99 over 2.5, leaning to the unders.
In the league table Atletico Nacional sit 3rd on 26 points (8W 2D 3L) with Deportivo Pasto 20th on 9 points (2W 3D 8L).
Atletico Nacional read L-W-D-W-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 2D 2L) — patchy.
Deportivo Pasto read L-D-L-W-W-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 2D 2L) — patchy.
Head to head the record reads 5-1-0 — Atletico Nacional wins, draws, then Deportivo Pasto wins. Their last meeting finished Deportivo Pasto - Atletico Nacional: 2-2.
Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Atletico Nacional first, then Deportivo Pasto, out of their last six: U 1.50 2 and 4.
Atletico Nacional lean hardest on Neider Parra Moya (9.5), Felipe Roman (9.3), Cesar Haydar (7.8) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Deportivo Pasto lean hardest on Enrique Serje (9.5), Diego Chavez (9.3), Jonathan Perlaza (9.0) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
The read: Atletico Nacional at 1.29 is short enough that the value, if there is any, sits on the handicap or in the goals market rather than the outright.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 21:30 on 22nd October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.