23rd October ATLETICO NACIONAL - DEPORTIVO PASTO

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• The market expects a one-sided afternoon. Atletico Nacional is the shortest price on a book of 1.31 / 4.80 / 11.63 (1 / X / 2), an implied 72.2%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 72.2% / 19.7% / 8.1% on an overround of 5.8%.

• In the league table Atletico Nacional sit 3rd on 26 points (8W 2D 3L) with Deportivo Pasto 20th on 9 points (2W 3D 8L).

• Atletico Nacional read L-W-D-W-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 2D 2L) — patchy.

• Deportivo Pasto read L-D-L-W-W-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 2D 2L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 5-1-0 — Atletico Nacional wins, draws, then Deportivo Pasto wins. Their last meeting finished Deportivo Pasto - Atletico Nacional: 2-2.

• Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Atletico Nacional first, then Deportivo Pasto, out of their last six: U 1.50 2 and 4.

• Atletico Nacional lean hardest on Neider Parra Moya (9.5), Felipe Roman (9.3), Cesar Haydar (7.8) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Deportivo Pasto lean hardest on Enrique Serje (9.5), Diego Chavez (9.3), Jonathan Perlaza (9.0) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Atletico Nacional at 1.31 is short enough that the value, if there is any, sits on the handicap or in the goals market rather than the outright.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 22nd October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.