REAL SALT LAKE - NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION
The market leans one way without any real conviction. Real Salt Lake is the shortest price on a book of 2.10 / 3.70 / 3.10 (1 / X / 2), an implied 44.5%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 44.5% / 25.3% / 30.2% on an overround of 6.9%.
Money has come for Real Salt Lake to win: the price has shortened from 2.49 to 2.20, a move of 13.2%. Steam like that on the day of the game usually reflects team news the wider market has not caught up with yet.
New England Revolution to win has drifted from 2.55 to 2.94 (13.3%). Layers are happy to take that side on, which is worth respecting.
Liquidity is strong — €10,975 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.
The Asian line sits at -0.25 goals, with Real Salt Lake giving the start, split 1.93 / 1.98. The handicap is the cleaner read on the expected margin here.
In the league table Real Salt Lake sit 25th on 29 points (8W 5D 13L) with New England Revolution 4th on 46 points (14W 4D 8L).
Real Salt Lake read L-L-L-L-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (0W 1D 5L) — a badly out of sorts side.
New England Revolution read W-W-W-L-W-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (4W 1D 1L) — a strong recent run.
Head to head the record reads 3-2-1 — Real Salt Lake wins, draws, then New England Revolution wins. Their last meeting finished Real Salt Lake - New England Revolution: 2-0.
Real Salt Lake team news: Luc de Fougerolles and Kobi Henry are part of the five players on international duty this weekend.
Real Salt Lake team news: Pablo Mastroeni might bring Lineker Rodrigues and Saba Lobzhanidze back into the fold for New England Revolution's visit.
New England Revolution team news: New England Revolution have six players on international duty, including top scorer Dor Turgeman.
New England Revolution team news: With key attackers unavailable, Marcos Zambrano and Wilson Harris may get the chance to shine.
Real Salt Lake are without 12 — Diego Luna (Out - injured), Ariath Piol (Out - injured), Juan Manuel Sanabria (Out - international duty), Justen Glad (Out - injured), Lukas Engel (Out - injured), Luc De Fougerolles (Out - international duty).
New England Revolution are without 10 — Jack Harrison (Out - injured), Peyton Miller (Out - international duty), Dor Turgeman (Out - international duty), Alhassan Yusuf (Out - injured), Tylon Smith (Out - injured), Ilay Feingold (Out - international duty). Losing Jack Harrison (7.36/10) is the kind of absence that moves a price.
Early lineups are in: Real Salt Lake set up 3-4-2-1 against 4-3-3. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.
Real Salt Lake lean hardest on DeAndre Yedlin (6.8), Saba Lobjanidze (6.8), Morgan Guilavogui (6.8) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Diego Luna is out for Real Salt Lake — index 6.7, against 8.8 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Juan Manuel Sanabria is out for Real Salt Lake — index 5.9, against 8.8 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Lukas Engel is out for Real Salt Lake — index 6.8, against 8.8 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Kobi Henry is out for Real Salt Lake — index 5.9, against 8.8 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Luca Moisa is out for Real Salt Lake — index 6.7, against 8.8 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Juan Jose Arias is out for Real Salt Lake — index 7.0, against 8.8 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Colin Guske is out for Real Salt Lake — index 5.9, against 8.8 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
New England Revolution lean hardest on Carles Gil (7.6), Matt Polster (7.6), Matt Turner (7.6) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Jack Harrison is out for New England Revolution — index 8.5, against 7.4 for the best cover we hold at his position. Noticeable.
Peyton Miller is out for New England Revolution — index 7.4, against 8.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Dor Turgeman is out for New England Revolution — index 7.4, against 8.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Alhassan Yusuf is out for New England Revolution — index 6.5, against 9.3 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Brooklyn Raines is out for New England Revolution — index 8.3, against 9.3 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
The projected score for this one is Real Salt Lake 0 - 3 New England Revolution, an away win by 3 with 3 goals in it — on the right side of the 2.5 line.
The read: Real Salt Lake at 2.10 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it. The late money is pointing the same way.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 18:00 on 26th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.