TENERIFE - CADIZ
Bookmakers are siding decisively with one team. Tenerife is the shortest price on a book of 1.76 / 3.30 / 4.75 (1 / X / 2), an implied 52.5%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 52.5% / 28.0% / 19.5% on an overround of 8.2%.
The draw is unusually well backed at 3.30 (28.0%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.
Cadiz to win has drifted from 4.14 to 4.44 (6.8%). Layers are happy to take that side on, which is worth respecting.
Liquidity is strong — €13,481 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.
In the league table Tenerife sit 11th on 10 points (3W 1D 2L) with Cadiz 19th on 3 points (0W 3D 3L).
Tenerife read L-W-D-L-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 1D 2L) — patchy.
Cadiz read L-L-L-D-D-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (0W 3D 3L) — more bad than good.
Head to head the record reads 3-3-0 — Tenerife wins, draws, then Cadiz wins. Their last meeting finished Tenerife - Cadiz: 2-2.
Tenerife are without 6 — Jesús Álvarez (Out), Anes Krdzalic (Out), Nacho Gil (Out), Baba Diocou (Out), Grant Ranos (Out), Alassan Manjam (Out). Of those, Jesús Álvarez and Anes Krdzalic is the one this team genuinely misses.
Cadiz are without 5 — Bojan Kovacevic (Out), Cristian Gutierrez (Out), Giorgi Gocholeishvili (Out), Kenan Toibibou (Out), Iuri Tabatadze (Out).
Tenerife lean hardest on Daniel Martin (9.5), Jose Leon (9.0), David Rodriguez (9.0) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Nacho Gil is out for Tenerife — index 8.1, against 9.0 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Cadiz lean hardest on Javier Castro (9.5), Manu Fernandez (9.1), Alejandro Orellana (8.9) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Bojan Kovacevic is out for Cadiz — index 7.4, against 9.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Cristian Gutierrez is out for Cadiz — index 6.8, against 9.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Giorgi Gocholeishvili is out for Cadiz — index 7.4, against 9.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Played at Heliodoro Rodríguez López, capacity 22,824. Olatz Rivera takes charge.
The read: Tenerife at 1.76 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 17:00 on 26th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.