JUVENTUS - NEC NIJMEGEN
The market expects a one-sided afternoon. Juventus is the shortest price on a book of 1.2 / 7 / 13 (1 / X / 2), an implied 79.1%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 79.1% / 13.6% / 7.3% on an overround of 5.3%.
Liquidity is strong — 14,597 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.
In the league table Juventus sit 32nd with Nec Nijmegen 25th.
Juventus read L-D-W-W-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 1D 3L) — more bad than good.
Nec Nijmegen read L-D-L-W-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 1D 4L) — poor.
Juventus team news: Luciano Spalletti is missing Lloyd Kelly due to suspension, while Juan Cabal, Weston McKennie, Andrea Cambiaso, Jérémie Boga, Jeff Ekhator, Kenan Yıldız, Khéphren Thuram and Manuel Locatelli are all unfit.
Juventus team news: Guglielmo Vicario is likely to start in goal, with Pierre Kalulu, Bremer, Jhon Lucumí and Zeki Çelik forming the defensive line. Juventus aim for a more composed defensive display after conceding three times in the last 25 minutes of their loss to Sassuolo.
Nec Nijmegen team news: Dick Schreuder faces several absences. Gonzalo Crettaz is suspended and also nursing a hamstring issue, while Isak Hansen-Aarøen, Adam Tahaui, Freek Entius and Yassin Moslih are ineligible. Emre Mor, Deveron Fonville and Ahmetcan Kaplan are also out.
Nec Nijmegen team news: Nikolas Polster is likely to start in goal, with Tobias Storm, Philippe Sandler and Almugera Kabar in front of him. NEC have not kept a clean sheet in nine matches and conceded three goals without reply at Cambuur last time out, putting considerable pressure on a reshuffled defensive lineup.
Juventus are without 9 — Juan Cabal (Out - injured), Weston McKennie (Out - injured), Andrea Cambiaso (Out - injured), Jérémie Boga (Out - injured), Jeff Ekhator (Out - injured), Kenan Yildiz (Out - injured).
Nec Nijmegen are without 8 — Gonzalo Crettaz (Out - suspended), Isak Hansen-Aarøen (Out - ineligible), Adam Tahaui (Out - ineligible), Freek Entius (Out - ineligible), Yassin Moslih (Out - ineligible), Emre Mor (Out - ineligible).
Early lineups are in: Juventus set up 4-2-3-1 against 3-4-2-1. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.
Juventus lean hardest on Zeki Çelik (9.3), Guglielmo Vicario (9.3), Randal Kolo Muani (9.3) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Jérémie Boga is out for Juventus — index 6.9, against 9.3 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Manuel Locatelli is out for Juventus — index 6.9, against 9.3 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Nec Nijmegen lean hardest on Dusan Tadic (9.5), Noé Lebreton (9.5), Tobias Storm (9.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Gonzalo Crettaz is out for Nec Nijmegen — index 7.3, against 9.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Isak Hansen-Aarøen is out for Nec Nijmegen — index 6.6, against 8.7 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Adam Tahaui is out for Nec Nijmegen — index 7.8, against 8.7 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
The projected score for this one is Juventus 2 - 0 Nec Nijmegen, a home win by 2 with 2 goals in it — short of the 2.5 line.
The read: Juventus at 1.2 is short enough that the value, if there is any, sits on the handicap or in the goals market rather than the outright.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 22:30 on 16th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.
