CHICAGO FIRE FC - NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION
This is priced as a comfortable favourite. Chicago Fire Fc is the shortest price on a book of 1.96 / 3.8 / 3.4 (1 / X / 2), an implied 47.8%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 47.8% / 24.7% / 27.6% on an overround of 6.7%.
Money has come for New England Revolution to win: the price has shortened from 3.70 to 3.46, a move of 6.9%. Steam like that on the day of the game usually reflects team news the wider market has not caught up with yet.
Chicago Fire Fc to win has drifted from 1.83 to 1.96 (6.6%). Layers are happy to take that side on, which is worth respecting.
Liquidity is strong — €20,428 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.
The Asian line sits at -0.25 goals, with Chicago Fire Fc giving the start, split 1.81 / 2.10. The handicap is the cleaner read on the expected margin here.
In the league table Chicago Fire Fc sit 11th on 39 points (11W 6D 6L) with New England Revolution 9th on 40 points (12W 4D 8L).
Chicago Fire Fc read D-D-D-D-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 4D 0L) — patchy.
New England Revolution read W-L-W-D-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 1D 2L) — patchy.
Head to head the record reads 1-1-0 — Chicago Fire Fc wins, draws, then New England Revolution wins. Their last meeting finished New England Revolution - Chicago Fire Fc: 2-2.
Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Chicago Fire Fc first, then New England Revolution, out of their last six: GG 6 and 5.
New England Revolution lean hardest on Jack Harrison (9.5), Mamadou Fofana (9.5), Carles Gil (9.3) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Played at Soldier Field, capacity 61,500. Rubiel Vazquez takes charge.
The read: Chicago Fire Fc at 1.96 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it. The late money is pointing the same way.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 22:00 on 13th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.