MIRASSOL - VITORIA
This is priced as a mismatch. Mirassol is the shortest price on a book of 1.66 / 3.60 / 5.25 (1 / X / 2), an implied 56.3%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 56.3% / 25.9% / 17.8% on an overround of 7.1%.
Liquidity is strong — €14,981 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.
In the league table Mirassol sit 16th on 28 points (7W 7D 12L) with Vitoria 12th on 32 points (9W 5D 12L).
Mirassol read W-L-D-D-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 3D 2L) — patchy.
Vitoria read W-L-L-W-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 0D 4L) — poor.
Head to head the record reads 0-1-2 — Mirassol wins, draws, then Vitoria wins. Their last meeting finished Vitoria - Mirassol: 2-0.
Mirassol lean hardest on Willian Machado (9.5), Reinaldo Manoel da Silva (9.1), Igor Formiga (8.1) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Vitoria lean hardest on Lucas Willians (9.5), Matheus Martins Fogaca de Paulo (8.6), Emanuel Britez (8.1) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Played at Jose Maria de Campos Maia Municipal Stadium, capacity 15,000. Ramon Abatti takes charge.
The read: Mirassol at 1.66 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 19:30 on 13th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.