13th September MIRASSOL - VITORIA

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• This is priced as a mismatch. Mirassol is the shortest price on a book of 1.68 / 3.5 / 5.25 (1 / X / 2), an implied 55.6%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 55.6% / 26.7% / 17.8% on an overround of 7.1%.

• In the league table Mirassol sit 15th on 28 points (7W 7D 12L) with Vitoria 12th on 32 points (9W 5D 12L).

• Mirassol read W-L-D-D-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 3D 2L) — patchy.

• Vitoria read W-L-L-W-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 0D 4L) — poor.

• Head to head the record reads 0-1-2 — Mirassol wins, draws, then Vitoria wins. Their last meeting finished Vitoria - Mirassol: 2-0.

• Mirassol lean hardest on Willian Machado (9.5), Reinaldo Manoel da Silva (9.1), Igor Formiga (8.1) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Vitoria lean hardest on Lucas Willians (9.5), Matheus Martins Fogaca de Paulo (8.6), Emanuel Britez (8.1) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Mirassol at 1.68 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 12th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.