FC KOLN - WERDER BREMEN
This is priced as a comfortable favourite. Fc Koln is the shortest price on a book of 2.08 / 3.85 / 3.47 (1 / X / 2), an implied 46.7%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 46.7% / 25.2% / 28.0% on an overround of 2.9%.
Under 2.5 goals has drifted from 2.33 to 2.51 (7.2%). Layers are happy to take that side on, which is worth respecting.
Liquidity is strong — €32,978 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.
In the league table Fc Koln sit 12th on 3 points (1W 0D 1L) with Werder Bremen 11th on 3 points (1W 0D 1L).
Fc Koln read L-W-L-L-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 1D 4L) — poor.
Werder Bremen read W-L-L-L-L-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 1D 4L) — poor.
Head to head the record reads 2-2-2 — Fc Koln wins, draws, then Werder Bremen wins. Their last meeting finished Fc Koln - Werder Bremen: 3-1.
Fc Koln team news: Sebastian Sebulonsen has returned to full training in preparation for Werder Bremen's visit.
Fc Koln team news: However, Said El Mala and Alessio Castro-Montes are both uncertain for selection after missing parts of this week's training sessions.
Werder Bremen team news: Eren Dinkci is set to be evaluated following a knock sustained during the game with RB Leipzig last weekend.
Werder Bremen team news: Senne Lynen and Felix Agu are still working on regaining their fitness in training.
Fc Koln are without 5 — Saïd El Mala (Doubtful - injured), Luca Waldschmidt (Out - injured), Timo Hübers (Out - injured), Ísak Jóhannesson (Doubtful - unfit), Alessio Castro-Montes (Doubtful - injured).
Werder Bremen are without 5 — Youri Regeer (Doubtful - injured), Jens Stage (Out - injured), Felix Agu (Out - unfit), Senne Lynen (Out - unfit), Justin Njinmah (Out - injured). Losing Youri Regeer (7.93/10) is the kind of absence that moves a price.
Early lineups are in: Fc Koln set up 4-3-3 against 4-3-3. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.
Werder Bremen lean hardest on Niclas Füllkrug (6.9), Marco Friedl (6.9), Amos Pieper (6.9) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Youri Regeer is out for Werder Bremen — index 5.9, against 8.1 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Senne Lynen is out for Werder Bremen — index 7.0, against 8.1 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Justin Njinmah is out for Werder Bremen — index 7.8, against 8.9 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
The projected score for this one is Fc Koln 1 - 1 Werder Bremen, a draw with 2 goals in it — short of the 2.5 line.
The read: Fc Koln at 2.08 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 16:00 on 12th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.