21st October TIGRES - LEON

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• This is priced as a comfortable favourite. Tigres is the shortest price on a book of 1.81 / 3.60 / 4.00 (1 / X / 2), an implied 51.1%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 51.1% / 25.7% / 23.1% on an overround of 8.0%.

• The goals market is priced 1.93 under 2.5 / 1.93 over 2.5, leaning to the overs.

• In the league table Tigres sit 13th on 14 points (3W 5D 4L) with Leon 7th on 18 points (5W 3D 4L).

• Tigres read D-W-W-L-D-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 3D 1L) — patchy.

• Leon read L-D-W-D-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 2D 2L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 1-2-1 — Tigres wins, draws, then Leon wins. Their last meeting finished Leon - Tigres: 1-2.

• Our last-six model flags 3 qualifying strikes here. Reading Tigres first, then Leon, out of their last six: HT DRAW 4 and 3, U 2.50 5 and 3, HT U 1.50 4 and 5.

• Tigres lean hardest on Nahuel Guzman (9.5), Fernando Gorriaran (9.4), Juan Brunetta (9.4) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Leon lean hardest on Juan Guevara (9.5), Ivan Moreno (9.3), Fernando Beltran (8.7) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Tigres at 1.81 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 15:30 on 20th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.