21st October V-VAREN NAGASAKI - SANFRECCE HIROSHIMA

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• This is priced as a mismatch. Sanfrecce Hiroshima is the shortest price on a book of 5.75 / 4.50 / 1.46 (1 / X / 2), an implied 63.4%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 16.1% / 20.6% / 63.4% on an overround of 8.1%.

• In the league table V-varen Nagasaki sit 15th on 9 points (2W 3D 5L) with Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1st on 23 points (7W 2D 1L).

• V-varen Nagasaki read L-D-D-W-L-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 3D 2L) — patchy.

• Sanfrecce Hiroshima read W-W-W-W-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (5W 0D 1L) — about as good as form gets.

• Head to head the record reads 0-0-2 — V-varen Nagasaki wins, draws, then Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins. Their last meeting finished Sanfrecce Hiroshima - V-varen Nagasaki: 2-0.

• V-varen Nagasaki lean hardest on Masaaki Goto (9.5), Hotaru Yamaguchi (9.0), Matheus Jesus (8.6) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Sanfrecce Hiroshima lean hardest on Hayato Araki (9.5), Naoto Arai (9.5), Akito Suzuki (9.4) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 1.46 is heavily fancied away from home. Backing a favourite at that price only makes sense on the handicap.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 15:30 on 20th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.