18th October SHAMS AZAR QAZVIN - SEPAHAN

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• This is priced as a mismatch. Sepahan is the shortest price on a book of 7.50 / 3.35 / 1.50 (1 / X / 2), an implied 60.7%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 12.1% / 27.2% / 60.7% on an overround of 9.9%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.35 (27.2%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Shams Azar Qazvin sit 17th on 6 points (1W 3D 4L) with Sepahan 3rd on 16 points (5W 1D 2L).

• Shams Azar Qazvin read D-L-L-D-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 2D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Sepahan read W-W-W-D-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (4W 1D 1L) — a strong recent run.

• Head to head the record reads 0-1-2 — Shams Azar Qazvin wins, draws, then Sepahan wins. Their last meeting finished Shams Azar Qazvin - Sepahan: 0-1.

• The read: Sepahan at 1.50 is heavily fancied away from home. Backing a favourite at that price only makes sense on the handicap.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 19:00 on 17th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.