18th October DEPORTIVO ALAVES (W) - SEVILLA (W)

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• There is barely a price between the sides. Deportivo Alaves (w) is the shortest price on a book of 2.58 / 3.11 / 2.61 (1 / X / 2), an implied 35.5%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 35.5% / 29.4% / 35.1% on an overround of 9.2%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.11 (29.4%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• Deportivo Alaves (w) to win has drifted from 2.36 to 2.54 (7.1%). Layers are happy to take that side on, which is worth respecting.

• In the league table Deportivo Alaves (w) sit 15th on 0 points (0W 0D 0L) with Sevilla (w) 11th on 0 points (0W 0D 0L).

• Deportivo Alaves (w) read L-D-L-L-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 1D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Sevilla (w) read D-L-W-W-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 2D 2L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 1-2-1 — Deportivo Alaves (w) wins, draws, then Sevilla (w) wins. Their last meeting finished Sevilla - Deportivo Alaves: 1-1.

• The read: Everything here points at a tight, low-tempo game. The draw at 3.11 is the selection the numbers keep coming back to, and the unders are the natural second look.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 22:30 on 17th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.