17th October MINNESOTA UNITED - ST. LOUIS CITY

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• Bookmakers have this as close to a coin toss as the 1X2 market gets. Minnesota United is the shortest price on a book of 2.45 / 3.75 / 2.55 (1 / X / 2), an implied 38.3%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 38.3% / 25.0% / 36.8% on an overround of 6.7%.

• In the league table Minnesota United sit 27th on 31 points (7W 10D 12L) with St. Louis City 4th on 51 points (14W 9D 6L).

• Minnesota United read D-D-L-L-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (0W 2D 4L) — poor.

• St. Louis City read D-W-W-W-W-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (4W 2D 0L) — a strong recent run.

• Head to head the record reads 2-0-0 — Minnesota United wins, draws, then St. Louis City wins. Their last meeting finished St. Louis City - Minnesota United: 1-2.

• Our last-six model flags 2 qualifying strikes here. Reading Minnesota United first, then St. Louis City, out of their last six: O 2.50 6 and 5, O 3.50 5 and 4.

• Minnesota United team news: Cameron Knowles may call up Mauricio Gonzalez for the attack during the visit of St. Louis City.

• Minnesota United team news: Anthony Markanich has become the latest player to join Minnesota United’s injury list.

• St. Louis City team news: Conrad Wallem is set to miss out after picking up an injury during the midweek game.

• St. Louis City team news: St. Louis City will also monitor Chris Durkin after he sustained an issue during the match with Vancouver Whitecaps.

• Minnesota United are without 4 — Anthony Markanich (Out - injured), Kyle Duncan (Doubtful - injured), Alec Smir (Out - injured), Peter Stroud (Out - injured).

• St. Louis City are without 5 — Chris Durkin (Doubtful - injured), Conrad Wallem (Out - injured), Kyle Hiebert (Out - injured), Brendan McSorley (Out - injured), Palmer Ault (Out - injured).

• Early lineups are in: Minnesota United set up 4-4-2 against 3-4-1-2. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.

• Minnesota United lean hardest on Wil Trapp (7.0), Tomás Chancalay (7.0), Drake Callender (7.0) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Anthony Markanich is out for Minnesota United — index 8.1, against 8.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Kyle Duncan is out for Minnesota United — index 8.5, against 8.2 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• St. Louis City lean hardest on Timo Baumgartl (6.7), Tomas Totland (6.7), Carlo Holse (6.7) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Chris Durkin is out for St. Louis City — index 9.2, against 9.1 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Conrad Wallem is out for St. Louis City — index 9.1, against 9.2 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• The projected score for this one is Minnesota United 0 - 3 St. Louis City, an away win by 3 with 3 goals in it — on the right side of the 2.5 line.

• The read: With barely anything between them on price, this is one to leave alone in the 1X2 market and attack in the goals or handicap markets instead.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 11:50 on 16th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.