16th October HELMOND SPORT - NAC BREDA

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• This is priced as a mismatch. Nac Breda is the shortest price on a book of 5.50 / 4.75 / 1.46 (1 / X / 2), an implied 63.6%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 16.9% / 19.5% / 63.6% on an overround of 7.7%.

• In the league table Helmond Sport sit 17th on 9 points (2W 3D 5L) with Nac Breda 5th on 17 points (5W 2D 3L).

• Helmond Sport read L-D-L-L-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 1D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Nac Breda read W-D-W-W-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 1D 2L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 2-2-2 — Helmond Sport wins, draws, then Nac Breda wins. Their last meeting finished Helmond Sport - Nac Breda: 1-0.

• Our last-six model flags 5 qualifying strikes here. Reading Helmond Sport first, then Nac Breda, out of their last six: O 2.50 5 and 5, O 3.50 4 and 4, HT O 1.50 5 and 3, GG 5 and 5, HT GG 4 and 3.

• The read: Nac Breda at 1.46 is heavily fancied away from home. Backing a favourite at that price only makes sense on the handicap.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 15th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.