16th October GUINGAMP - PAU

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• There is a clear but slim favourite here. Guingamp is the shortest price on a book of 2.00 / 3.10 / 3.30 (1 / X / 2), an implied 44.4%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 44.4% / 28.7% / 26.9% on an overround of 12.6%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.10 (28.7%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Guingamp sit 11th on 8 points (2W 2D 4L) with Pau 8th on 11 points (3W 2D 3L).

• Guingamp read L-L-W-D-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 2D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Pau read W-W-L-D-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 2D 2L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 2-1-3 — Guingamp wins, draws, then Pau wins. Their last meeting finished Pau - Guingamp: 2-1.

• The read: Guingamp at 2.00 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 15th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.