16th October SUMQAYIT - ARAZ PFK

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• The market has a firm view on this one. Sumqayit is the shortest price on a book of 1.85 / 3.28 / 3.62 (1 / X / 2), an implied 48.2%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 48.2% / 27.2% / 24.6% on an overround of 12.2%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.28 (27.2%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Sumqayit sit 8th on 5 points (1W 2D 3L) with Araz Pfk 12th on 2 points (0W 2D 5L).

• Sumqayit read W-D-D-L-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 2D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Araz Pfk read L-L-D-L-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (0W 1D 5L) — a badly out of sorts side.

• Head to head the record reads 2-1-3 — Sumqayit wins, draws, then Araz Pfk wins. Their last meeting finished Sumqayit - Araz Pfk: 2-1.

• The read: Sumqayit at 1.85 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 15th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.