14th October NARVA TRANS - FC KURESSAARE

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• The market leans one way without any real conviction. Narva Trans is the shortest price on a book of 2.23 / 3.30 / 3.07 (1 / X / 2), an implied 41.6%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 41.6% / 28.1% / 30.2% on an overround of 7.7%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.30 (28.1%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Narva Trans sit 10th on 20 points (5W 5D 20L) with Fc Kuressaare 8th on 32 points (9W 5D 16L).

• Narva Trans read D-D-L-D-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (0W 3D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Fc Kuressaare read W-D-L-L-W-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 2D 2L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 2-3-1 — Narva Trans wins, draws, then Fc Kuressaare wins. Their last meeting finished Fc Kuressaare - Narva Trans: 3-1.

• Our last-six model flags 2 qualifying strikes here. Reading Narva Trans first, then Fc Kuressaare, out of their last six: O 3.50 3 and 4, HT O 1.50 3 and 5.

• The read: Narva Trans at 2.23 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 13th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.