13th October FAJR SEPASI - ALUMINIUM ARAK

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• This is priced as a comfortable favourite. Fajr Sepasi is the shortest price on a book of 2.10 / 2.88 / 3.70 (1 / X / 2), an implied 43.5%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 43.5% / 31.7% / 24.7% on an overround of 9.4%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 2.88 (31.7%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Fajr Sepasi sit 14th on 7 points (1W 4D 2L) with Aluminium Arak 5th on 13 points (3W 4D 0L).

• Fajr Sepasi read L-L-D-D-W-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 3D 2L) — patchy.

• Aluminium Arak read D-D-W-D-W-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 4D 0L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 0-2-1 — Fajr Sepasi wins, draws, then Aluminium Arak wins. Their last meeting finished Aluminium Arak - Fajr Sepasi: 1-1.

• Our last-six model flags 4 qualifying strikes here. Reading Fajr Sepasi first, then Aluminium Arak, out of their last six: DRAW 3 and 4, HT DRAW 4 and 4, U 2.50 5 and 4, U 1.50 4 and 2.

• The read: Fajr Sepasi at 2.10 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 12th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.