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    10th October AJAX - NEC NIJMEGEN

    PREVIEW

    • Sat 20:00 Ajax Vs Nec Nijmegen
    • Game for: 8th round of Eredivisie
    • Take Place: Amsterdam Arena ( 53.052 )
    • Last Game: Ajax - Nec Nijmegen: 1-1
    • History of Games: 1-3-2
    • Predicted Score: Ajax 3 - 1 Nec Nijmegen

    Standing

    PTeamWDLPtsForm
    5Ajax42114DWWLWW
    11Nec Nijmegen2238DLLDLW

    5th (IN EREDIVISIE )

    • League : This is the 5th home game this season.
    • Home Record : 1W - 2D - 1L
    • Last Game : Ajax - Excelsior: 2-2
    • Next Game : 15 Oct Hajduk Split - Ajax

    11th (IN EREDIVISIE )

    • League : This is the 4th away game this season.
    • Away Record : 2W - 0D - 1L
    • Last Game : Nec Nijmegen - Go Ahead Eagles: 1-1
    • Next Game : 15 Oct Nec Nijmegen - Levski Sofia

    KEY STATS BASED ON LAST 6 GAMES

    • O 2.50
      OOOOOO
      		Ajax20:00Nec Nijmegen
      OOOOOU
    • O 3.50
      OOOOOO
      		Ajax20:00Nec Nijmegen
      OOOUOU

    KEY STATS BASED ON ALL GAMES

    Team

    GAMES

    Record

    Next Game

    O 2.50Ajax99 O - 0 U
    20:00
    Ajax - Nec Nijmegen
    O2.5(1.333)
    O 3.50Ajax99 O - 0 U
    20:00
    Ajax - Nec Nijmegen
    O3.5(1.8)
    GR 4-6Ajax98 Y - 1 N
    20:00
    Ajax - Nec Nijmegen
    Odd

    Probable Lineups

    ( 4-3-3 ) Ajax

    Nec Nijmegen ( 3-4-2-1 )

    • Stegen
    • 6.7
    • Wijndal
    • 6.8
    • Baas
    • 6.8
    • Kehrer
    • 6.8
    • Gaaei
    • 7.1
    • Brandt
    • 7.2
    • Mokio
    • 6.8
    • Klaassen
    • 6.9
    • Gloukh
    • 7.6
    • Arokodare
    • 7.3
    • Tsygankov
    • 6.6
    • Polster
    • 6.1
    • Brás
    • 6.3
    • Schuurs
    • 6.8
    • Storm
    • 6.6
    • Thomas
    • 6.7
    • Lebreton
    • 6.5
    • Nejasmic
    • 7.0
    • Kers
    • 6.3
    • Chery
    • 7.2
    • Tadic
    • 6.7
    • Linssen
    • 6.5
    • Player Index: how much of this team's football each player accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

    Injuries and Suspensions

    AjaxVsNec Nijmegen

    PlayerRatingStatus
    Steven Berghuis7.22 Out - injured
    Aaron Bouwman7.04 Out - injured
    Daley Blind- Out - injured
    Kasper Dolberg6.97 Out - injured
    Caio Henrique6.66 Out - injured
    PlayerRatingStatus
    Deveron Fonville6.70 Out - injured
    Philippe Sandler6.55 Out - injured
    Emre Mor6.48 Out - injured
    Clement Bischoff6.35 Out - injured
    Gonzalo Crettaz6.13 Out - injured
    • Rating: season rating out of 10; players without one yet show a dash. ★ marks a player this side particularly relies on.

    Team News

    • Miguel has to do without Daley Blind, Steven Berghuis, Kasper Dolberg, Caio Henrique and Aaron Bouwman, with the latter possibly fit for the game.

    • Marc-André ter Stegen is likely to remain in goal ahead of Anton Gaaei, Thilo Kehrer, Youri Baas and Owen Wijndal. Ajax have not kept a clean sheet at home so far, so defensive focus during transitions will be crucial against NEC's seasoned attackers.

    • Davy Klaassen, Jorthy Mokio and Julian Brandt are likely to make up the midfield trio. Brandt tops the Ajax goal chart with four league strikes, while Klaassen has three and is a constant threat with late box incursions.

    • Up front, Viktor Tsygankov and Oscar Gloukh are set to partner Arokodare. Gloukh leads the Eredivisie for big chances created with seven and has provided four assists, making him Ajax’s primary source of creativity in the final third.

    • Dick Schreuder is missing Emre Mor, Philippe Sandler, Gonzalo Crettaz, Deveron Fonville and Clement Bischoff, leaving NEC with few first-team alternatives.

    • Nikolas Polster is set to start in goal in front of Tobias Storm, Perr Schuurs and Gabriel Brás. That back three will come under constant pressure against an Ajax side averaging three league goals per game.

    • Kevin Kers and Dele Thomas are set to provide the width, while Darko Nejašmić and Noé Lebreton will operate in central areas. The quartet's defensive contributions and their role in helping NEC evade Ajax’s pressing will be vital.

    • Dušan Tadić and Chery are set to partner Bryan Linssen. Tadić’s return to Amsterdam introduces a significant narrative, following his three Eredivisie titles with Ajax and his tally of 105 goals and 112 assists in 241 competitive games.

    Odds

    Ajax Win: 1.3

    DRAW: 5.5

    Nec Nijmegen Win: 8.5

    Prices are indicative and sourced from a range of bookmakers, and may differ from those of any individual bookmaker.

    Open an account with Bet365

    Live Football on TV

    NetherlandsCanal+, ESPN, ESPN Extra HD, ESPN HD, ESPN Watch
    CyprusCablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1 HD, Cablenet TV Go, Cytavision Go

    Game Analysis

    • This is priced as a mismatch. Ajax is the shortest price on a book of 1.3 / 5.5 / 8.5 (1 / X / 2), an implied 72.0%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 72.0% / 17.0% / 11.0% on an overround of 6.9%.

    • In the league table Ajax sit 5th on 14 points (4W 2D 1L) with Nec Nijmegen 11th on 8 points (2W 2D 3L).

    • Ajax read D-W-W-L-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (4W 1D 1L) — a strong recent run.

    • Nec Nijmegen read D-L-L-D-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 2D 3L) — more bad than good.

    • Head to head the record reads 1-3-2 — Ajax wins, draws, then Nec Nijmegen wins. Their last meeting finished Ajax - Nec Nijmegen: 1-1.

    • Our last-six model flags 2 qualifying strikes here. Reading Ajax first, then Nec Nijmegen, out of their last six: O 2.50 6 and 5, O 3.50 6 and 4.

    • Ajax team news: Miguel has to do without Daley Blind, Steven Berghuis, Kasper Dolberg, Caio Henrique and Aaron Bouwman, with the latter possibly fit for the game.

    • Ajax team news: Marc-André ter Stegen is likely to remain in goal ahead of Anton Gaaei, Thilo Kehrer, Youri Baas and Owen Wijndal. Ajax have not kept a clean sheet at home so far, so defensive focus during transitions will be crucial against NEC's seasoned attackers.

    • Nec Nijmegen team news: Dick Schreuder is missing Emre Mor, Philippe Sandler, Gonzalo Crettaz, Deveron Fonville and Clement Bischoff, leaving NEC with few first-team alternatives.

    • Nec Nijmegen team news: Nikolas Polster is set to start in goal in front of Tobias Storm, Perr Schuurs and Gabriel Brás. That back three will come under constant pressure against an Ajax side averaging three league goals per game.

    • Ajax are without 5 — Steven Berghuis (Out - injured), Aaron Bouwman (Out - injured), Daley Blind (Out - injured), Kasper Dolberg (Out - injured), Caio Henrique (Out - injured).

    • Nec Nijmegen are without 5 — Deveron Fonville (Out - injured), Philippe Sandler (Out - injured), Emre Mor (Out - injured), Clement Bischoff (Out - injured), Gonzalo Crettaz (Out - injured).

    • Early lineups are in: Ajax set up 4-3-3 against 3-4-2-1. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.

    • Ajax lean hardest on Davy Klaassen (8.2), Julian Brandt (8.2), Thilo Kehrer (8.2) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

    • Steven Berghuis is out for Ajax — index 7.7, against 8.9 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

    • Aaron Bouwman is out for Ajax — index 5.7, against 8.8 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

    • Kasper Dolberg is out for Ajax — index 8.2, against 8.9 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

    • Caio Henrique is out for Ajax — index 8.2, against 8.8 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

    • Nec Nijmegen lean hardest on Dusan Tadic (9.1), Noé Lebreton (9.1), Tobias Storm (9.1) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

    • Philippe Sandler is out for Nec Nijmegen — index 6.8, against 9.1 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

    • Clement Bischoff is out for Nec Nijmegen — index 6.9, against 9.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

    • Gonzalo Crettaz is out for Nec Nijmegen — index 6.6, against 8.4 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

    • The projected score for this one is Ajax 3 - 1 Nec Nijmegen, a home win by 2 with 4 goals in it — on the right side of the 2.5 line.

    • The read: Ajax at 1.3 is short enough that the value, if there is any, sits on the handicap or in the goals market rather than the outright.

    • This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 9th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.


    Category: Previews

    Written by: BTFNews

    Date: 06:50 09 Oct, 2026

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