10th October PAYKAN - SHAMS AZAR QAZVIN

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• There is a clear but slim favourite here. Paykan is the shortest price on a book of 2.15 / 3.00 / 3.25 (1 / X / 2), an implied 42.0%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 42.0% / 30.1% / 27.8% on an overround of 10.6%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.00 (30.1%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Paykan sit 9th on 8 points (2W 2D 3L) with Shams Azar Qazvin 16th on 5 points (1W 2D 4L).

• Paykan read L-W-L-D-W-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 2D 2L) — patchy.

• Shams Azar Qazvin read L-L-D-W-L-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 2D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Head to head the record reads 0-2-2 — Paykan wins, draws, then Shams Azar Qazvin wins. Their last meeting finished Paykan - Shams Azar Qazvin: 0-1.

• Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Paykan first, then Shams Azar Qazvin, out of their last six: HT DRAW 5 and 4.

• The read: Paykan at 2.15 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 9th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.