10th October MAINZ 05 - BAYER LEVERKUSEN

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• There is a clear but slim favourite here. Bayer Leverkusen is the shortest price on a book of 3.00 / 3.80 / 2.20 (1 / X / 2), an implied 43.2%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 31.7% / 25.0% / 43.2% on an overround of 5.1%.

• In the league table Mainz 05 sit 6th on 7 points (2W 1D 1L) with Bayer Leverkusen 5th on 7 points (2W 1D 1L).

• Mainz 05 read W-L-W-D-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 1D 2L) — patchy.

• Bayer Leverkusen read W-W-D-W-L-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 2D 1L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 0-2-2 — Mainz 05 wins, draws, then Bayer Leverkusen wins. Their last meeting finished Bayer Leverkusen - Mainz 05: 1-1.

• Mainz 05 lean hardest on Stefan Posch (9.5), Nadiem Amiri (9.5), Phillip Tietz (9.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Bayer Leverkusen lean hardest on Mark Flekken (9.5), Facundo Medina (9.2), Ezequiel Fernandez (8.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Bayer Leverkusen at 2.20 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 9th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.