10th October PLYMOUTH - AFC WIMBLEDON

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• This is priced as a mismatch. Plymouth is the shortest price on a book of 1.46 / 4.20 / 6.00 (1 / X / 2), an implied 62.9%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 62.9% / 21.8% / 15.3% on an overround of 9.0%.

• In the league table Plymouth sit 1st on 16 points (5W 1D 3L) with Afc Wimbledon 9th on 12 points (3W 3D 2L).

• Plymouth read D-W-L-W-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (4W 1D 1L) — a strong recent run.

• Afc Wimbledon read D-D-D-W-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 3D 1L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 5-0-1 — Plymouth wins, draws, then Afc Wimbledon wins. Their last meeting finished Afc Wimbledon - Plymouth: 1-3.

• Plymouth lean hardest on Julio Pleguezuelo (9.5), Wes Harding (9.5), Tyreeq Bakinson (9.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Afc Wimbledon lean hardest on Ryan Johnson (9.5), Steve Seddon (9.5), Alistair Smith (9.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Plymouth at 1.46 is short enough that the value, if there is any, sits on the handicap or in the goals market rather than the outright.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 9th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.