10th October SUMQAYIT - FK QABALA

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• There is a clear but slim favourite here. Sumqayit is the shortest price on a book of 2.41 / 2.99 / 2.92 (1 / X / 2), an implied 38.0%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 38.0% / 30.6% / 31.4% on an overround of 9.2%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 2.99 (30.6%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Sumqayit sit 11th on 2 points (0W 2D 3L) with Fk Qabala 9th on 4 points (1W 1D 4L).

• Sumqayit read D-D-L-L-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (0W 2D 4L) — poor.

• Fk Qabala read L-L-W-D-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 1D 4L) — poor.

• Head to head the record reads 2-1-0 — Sumqayit wins, draws, then Fk Qabala wins. Their last meeting finished Sumqayit - Fk Qabala: 1-0.

• The read: Everything here points at a tight, low-tempo game. The draw at 2.99 is the selection the numbers keep coming back to, and the unders are the natural second look.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 9th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.