9th October ARSENAL TULA - SPARTAK KOSTROMA

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• The market leans one way without any real conviction. Arsenal Tula is the shortest price on a book of 2.47 / 3.17 / 2.94 (1 / X / 2), an implied 38.2%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 38.2% / 29.7% / 32.1% on an overround of 6.0%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.17 (29.7%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Arsenal Tula sit 12th on 13 points (3W 4D 5L) with Spartak Kostroma 3rd on 24 points (7W 3D 2L).

• Arsenal Tula read L-D-L-D-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 2D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Spartak Kostroma read L-W-W-W-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (4W 0D 2L) — a strong recent run.

• Head to head the record reads 0-2-1 — Arsenal Tula wins, draws, then Spartak Kostroma wins. Their last meeting finished Arsenal Tula - Spartak Kostroma: 1-1.

• The read: Everything here points at a tight, low-tempo game. The draw at 3.17 is the selection the numbers keep coming back to, and the unders are the natural second look.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 22:30 on 8th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.