4th October PUERTO NUEVO - JUSTO JOSE DE URQUIZA

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• The market cannot separate these two. the draw is the shortest price on a book of 2.80 / 2.47 / 2.77 (1 / X / 2), an implied 36.1%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 31.8% / 36.1% / 32.1% on an overround of 12.3%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 2.47 (36.1%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Puerto Nuevo sit 3rd on 34 points (8W 10D 4L) with Justo Jose De Urquiza 12th on 21 points (3W 12D 8L).

• Puerto Nuevo read D-W-D-W-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (4W 2D 0L) — a strong recent run.

• Justo Jose De Urquiza read L-D-D-W-W-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 3D 1L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 0-0-2 — Puerto Nuevo wins, draws, then Justo Jose De Urquiza wins. Their last meeting finished Justo Jose De Urquiza - Puerto Nuevo: 2-0.

• The read: Everything here points at a tight, low-tempo game. The draw at 2.47 is the selection the numbers keep coming back to, and the unders are the natural second look.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 4th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.