5th October CERRO PORTENO - 2 DE MAYO

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• This is priced as a mismatch. Cerro Porteno is the shortest price on a book of 1.48 / 3.6 / 6 (1 / X / 2), an implied 60.3%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 60.3% / 24.8% / 14.9% on an overround of 12.0%.

• In the league table Cerro Porteno sit 8th on 17 points (5W 2D 5L) with 2 De Mayo 4th on 22 points (6W 4D 2L).

• Cerro Porteno read L-W-D-W-W-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 2D 1L) — patchy.

• 2 De Mayo read D-L-L-W-D-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 2D 2L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 2-3-1 — Cerro Porteno wins, draws, then 2 De Mayo wins. Their last meeting finished 2 De Mayo - Cerro Porteno: 2-1.

• Our last-six model flags 3 qualifying strikes here. Reading Cerro Porteno first, then 2 De Mayo, out of their last six: HT DRAW 4 and 3, HT O 1.50 4 and 3, HT GG 3 and 2.

• The read: Cerro Porteno at 1.48 is short enough that the value, if there is any, sits on the handicap or in the goals market rather than the outright.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 4th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.