4th October FARENSE - CHAVES

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• There is a clear but slim favourite here. Farense is the shortest price on a book of 2.1 / 3.1 / 3.2 (1 / X / 2), an implied 42.9%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 42.9% / 29.0% / 28.1% on an overround of 11.1%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.1 (29.0%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Farense sit 10th on 8 points (2W 2D 1L) with Chaves 16th on 4 points (1W 1D 3L).

• Farense read D-L-D-W-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 2D 2L) — patchy.

• Chaves read W-L-D-L-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 1D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Head to head the record reads 1-1-4 — Farense wins, draws, then Chaves wins. Their last meeting finished Chaves - Farense: 2-0.

• The read: Farense at 2.1 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 3rd October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.