4th October DOLOMITI BELLUNESI - NOVARA

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• Bookmakers have this as close to a coin toss as the 1X2 market gets. Novara is the shortest price on a book of 2.99 / 2.86 / 2.54 (1 / X / 2), an implied 36.5%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 31.0% / 32.4% / 36.5% on an overround of 7.8%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 2.86 (32.4%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Dolomiti Bellunesi sit 20th on 0 points (0W 0D 0L) with Novara 2nd on 0 points (0W 0D 0L).

• Dolomiti Bellunesi read D-L-L-D-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (0W 2D 4L) — poor.

• Novara read W-W-W-L-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 0D 3L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 0-2-0 — Dolomiti Bellunesi wins, draws, then Novara wins. Their last meeting finished Novara - Dolomiti Bellunesi: 1-1.

• The read: Everything here points at a tight, low-tempo game. The draw at 2.86 is the selection the numbers keep coming back to, and the unders are the natural second look.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 3rd October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.