4th October GREECE - GERMANY

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• This is priced as a comfortable favourite. Germany is the shortest price on a book of 4.1 / 3.7 / 1.85 (1 / X / 2), an implied 51.2%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 23.1% / 25.6% / 51.2% on an overround of 5.5%.

• Greece team news: Christos Tzolis picked up a hamstring injury in the Netherlands game and will be unavailable this Sunday.

• Greece team news: Giorgos Masouras might come into the side after catching the eye during his last appearance as a substitute.

• Germany team news: Said El Mala and Finn Jeltsch may get a chance this weekend as Jürgen Klopp continues to trial players for the national team.

• Germany team news: Mika Baur could be handed a place in the starting lineup for the clash with Greece.

• Greece are without 2 — Christos Tzolis (Out - injured), Sotiris Kontouris (Out - injured).

• Germany are without 4 — Nico Schlotterbeck (Out - injured), Leon Goretzka (Out - injured), Jamal Musiala (Out - injured), Kai Havertz (Out - injured).

• Early lineups are in: Greece set up 4-4-2 against 4-2-3-1. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.

• Greece lean hardest on Dimitrios Kourbelis (8.5), Kostas Tsimikas (8.5), Panagiotis Retsos (8.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Christos Tzolis is out for Greece — index 9.3, against 8.6 for the best cover we hold at his position. Noticeable.

• Germany lean hardest on Alexander Nübel (9.5), Philipp Treu (8.7), Serge Gnabry (8.6) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Nico Schlotterbeck is out for Germany — index 7.3, against 8.7 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Jamal Musiala is out for Germany — index 6.4, against 8.7 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Kai Havertz is out for Germany — index 7.7, against 7.7 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• The projected score for this one is Greece 1 - 2 Germany, an away win by 1 with 3 goals in it — on the right side of the 2.5 line.

• The read: Germany at 1.85 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 3rd October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.