4th October NUERNBERG (W) - TSG 1899 HOFFENHEIM (W)

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• The market has a firm view on this one. Tsg 1899 Hoffenheim (w) is the shortest price on a book of 3.48 / 3.96 / 1.81 (1 / X / 2), an implied 50.6%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 26.3% / 23.1% / 50.6% on an overround of 9.2%.

• In the league table Nuernberg (w) sit 13th on 2 points (0W 2D 3L) with Tsg 1899 Hoffenheim (w) 11th on 3 points (1W 0D 4L).

• Nuernberg (w) read L-L-D-D-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (0W 2D 4L) — poor.

• Tsg 1899 Hoffenheim (w) read W-L-L-L-L-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 1D 4L) — poor.

• Head to head the record reads 0-1-2 — Nuernberg (w) wins, draws, then Tsg 1899 Hoffenheim (w) wins. Their last meeting finished Nuernberg (w) - Tsg 1899 Hoffenheim (w): 0-3.

• Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Nuernberg (w) first, then Tsg 1899 Hoffenheim (w), out of their last six: GG 6 and 4.

• The read: Tsg 1899 Hoffenheim (w) at 1.81 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 3rd October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.