3rd October DEPORTIVO PARAGUAYO - MERCEDES

Prices are indicative and sourced from a range of bookmakers, and may differ from those of any individual bookmaker.

Open an account with Bet365

• The market has a firm view on this one. Mercedes is the shortest price on a book of 4.50 / 2.88 / 1.81 (1 / X / 2), an implied 49.2%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 19.8% / 30.9% / 49.2% on an overround of 12.2%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 2.88 (30.9%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• Deportivo Paraguayo to win has drifted from 3.60 to 3.86 (6.7%). Layers are happy to take that side on, which is worth respecting.

• In the league table Deportivo Paraguayo sit 16th on 19 points (4W 7D 10L) with Mercedes 4th on 33 points (8W 9D 5L).

• Deportivo Paraguayo read L-D-W-L-L-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 2D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Mercedes read L-D-W-W-W-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 2D 1L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 0-0-1 — Deportivo Paraguayo wins, draws, then Mercedes wins. Their last meeting finished Mercedes - Deportivo Paraguayo: 2-1.

• The read: Mercedes at 1.81 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 22:30 on 2nd October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.