2nd October FRANCE - ITALY
- Fri 19:45
France Vs Italy
- Predicted Score: France 2 - 1 Italy
Probable Lineups
( 4-2-3-1 ) France
Italy ( 4-3-3 )
- Maignan
- Truffert
- Lacroix
- Upamecano
- Koundé
- Rabiot
- Camavinga
- Doué
- Cherki
- Olise
- Dembélé
- Donnarumma
- Calafiori
- Bastoni
- Scalvini
- Lorenzo
- Tonali
- Frattesi
- Barella
- Cambiaghi
- Esposito
- Kean
- Player Index: how much of this team's football each player accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Injuries and Suspensions
FranceVsItaly
| Player | Rating | Status |
| Kylian Mbappé ★ | 7.15 | Out - injured |
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | - | Out - injured |
| Théo Hernández | - | Out - injured |
| Warren Zaïre-Emery | - | Out - injured |
| William Saliba | - | Out - injured |
| Ibrahima Konaté | - | Out - injured |
| Player | Rating | Status |
| Filippo Mane | - | Out - injured |
| Matteo Dagasso | - | Out - injured |
| Jeff Ekhator | - | Out - injured |
| Bryan Cristante | - | Out - injured |
| Federico Dimarco | - | Out - injured |
| Nicolò Zaniolo | - | Out - injured |
- Rating: season rating out of 10; players without one yet show a dash. ★ marks a player this side particularly relies on.
Odds
France Win: 1.44
DRAW: 5.20
Italy Win: 6.64
Prices are indicative and sourced from a range of bookmakers, and may differ from those of any individual bookmaker.
Live Streaming Football
| Germany | DAZN (OTT Platform), DAZN.com/de-DE |
| Spain | DAZN (OTT Platfrom), DAZN.com/es-ES |
| France | live.lequipe.fr |
| Andorra | live.lequipe.fr |
| Argentina | Disney+ Premium |
| Australia | beIN Sports Connect |
| Austria | DAZN (OTT Platfrom), DAZN.com/de-AT |
| Bolivia | Disney+ Premium |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | moja.tv |
| Bulgaria | play.diemaxtra.bg |
| Canada | DAZN (OTT Platfrom), DAZN.com/en-CA |
| Iceland | Viaplay (OTT Platform), viaplay.is |
| Japan | DAZN (OTT Platfrom), DAZN.com/en-JP |
| Monaco | live.lequipe.fr |
| Norway | Viaplay (OTT Platform), Viaplay.no, play.tv2.no |
| Russia | okko.sport |
| Sweden | Viaplay (OTT Platform), Viaplay.se |
| Switzerland | DAZN (OTT Platfrom) |
| USA | fubo.tv |
| Uruguay | Disney+ Premium |
| Venezuela | Disney+ Premium Sur |
Live Football on TV
| France | L Equipe HD |
| Albania | Super Sport 2 HD |
| Andorra | L Equipe |
| Anguilla | Bluu |
| Antigua and Barbuda | Bluu |
| Armenia | FAST TV |
| Aruba | Bluu |
| Australia | beIN Sports 3, beIN Sports 3 HD |
| Bangladesh | SonyLIV |
| Barbados | Bluu |
| Bermuda | Bluu |
| Bhutan | SonyLIV |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | Arena Cloud, Arena Sport Premium 1, Arena Sport Premium 1 HD, Moja TV |
| Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Diema Sport 3 HD |
| Cambodia | MONOMAX |
| Canada | fubo TV |
| Cayman Islands | Bluu |
| Croatia | SportKlub 1, SportKlub 1 HD |
| Cyprus | Cablenet TV Go, Cytavision Go, Cytavision Sports 3 HD, NovaSports 2 HD |
| Dominican Republic | Bluu |
| Estonia | Go3 Extra Sports |
| Greece | Alpha TV, NovaSports 2 HD |
| Grenada | Bluu |
| India | SonyLIV |
| Israel | Sport 2, Sport 2 HD |
| Jamaica | Bluu |
| Laos | MONOMAX |
| Latvia | Go3 Extra Sports |
| Lithuania | Go3 Extra Sports |
| Maldives | Sony LIV |
| Monaco | L Equipe Web |
| Montserrat | Bluu |
| Nepal | Sony LIV |
| Norway | TV2 Play |
| Pakistan | Sony LIV |
| Panama | Bluu |
| Russia | Okko Sport |
| Saint Kitts and Nevis | Bluu |
| Saint Lucia | Bluu |
| Sri Lanka | Sony LIV |
| Thailand | MONOMAX |
| The Bahamas | Bluu |
| Trinidad and Tobago | Bluu |
| Turks and Caicos Islands | Bluu |
| USA | ViX TV, ViX TV HD |
| Vietnam | TV 360 |
Game Analysis
This is priced as a mismatch. France is the shortest price on a book of 1.44 / 5.20 / 6.64 (1 / X / 2), an implied 66.9%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 66.9% / 18.5% / 14.5% on an overround of 3.7%.
France are without 6 — Kylian Mbappé (Out - injured), Jean-Philippe Mateta (Out - injured), Théo Hernández (Out - injured), Warren Zaïre-Emery (Out - injured), William Saliba (Out - injured), Ibrahima Konaté (Out - injured). Losing Kylian Mbappé (7.15/10) is the kind of absence that moves a price.
Italy are without 6 — Filippo Mane (Out - injured), Matteo Dagasso (Out - injured), Jeff Ekhator (Out - injured), Bryan Cristante (Out - injured), Federico Dimarco (Out - injured), Nicolò Zaniolo (Out - injured).
Early lineups are in: France set up 4-2-3-1 against 4-3-3. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.
France lean hardest on Adrien Rabiot (9.5), Mike Maignan (9.5), Jules Koundé (9.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Kylian Mbappé is out for France — index 7.0, against 8.8 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Italy lean hardest on Nicolò Barella (8.8), Gianluigi Donnarumma (8.8), Sandro Tonali (8.8) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Nicolò Zaniolo is out for Italy — index 6.5, against 8.8 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
The projected score for this one is France 2 - 1 Italy, a home win by 1 with 3 goals in it — on the right side of the 2.5 line.
The read: France at 1.44 is short enough that the value, if there is any, sits on the handicap or in the goals market rather than the outright.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 1st October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.