2nd October BELGIUM - TURKIYE

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• This is priced as a mismatch. Belgium is the shortest price on a book of 1.52 / 4.84 / 5.76 (1 / X / 2), an implied 63.4%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 63.4% / 19.9% / 16.7% on an overround of 3.8%.

• Belgium team news: The availability of Mike Penders is in doubt after he picked up a quad injury ahead of the game with France.

• Belgium team news: Romeo Lavia will also undergo assessment after exiting the match with 10 minutes remaining.

• Turkiye team news: Ugurcan Cakir will be back in contention after completing a one-game ban.

• Turkiye team news: Abdülkerim Bardakci and Ferdi Kadioglu may also be brought back into the squad for the Belgium encounter.

• Belgium are without 5 — Roméo Lavia (Doubtful - injured), Amadou Onana (Out - injured), Leandro Trossard (Out - injured), Mike Penders (Doubtful - injured), Diego Moreira (Out - suspended).

• Turkiye are without 3 — Hakan Çalhanoglu (Out - injured), Kenan Yildiz (Out - injured), Mert Müldür (Out - injured).

• Early lineups are in: Belgium set up 4-2-3-1 against 3-4-2-1. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.

• Belgium lean hardest on Youri Tielemans (8.9), Timothy Castagne (8.9), Dodi Lukébakio (8.9) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Roméo Lavia is out for Belgium — index 8.9, against 9.1 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Diego Moreira is out for Belgium — index 7.9, against 8.9 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Turkiye lean hardest on Abdülkerim Bardakci (9.3), Zeki Çelik (9.3), Salih Özcan (9.3) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The projected score for this one is Belgium 2 - 0 Turkiye, a home win by 2 with 2 goals in it — short of the 2.5 line.

• The read: Belgium at 1.52 is short enough that the value, if there is any, sits on the handicap or in the goals market rather than the outright.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 1st October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.