30th September TAMWORTH - SUTTON UNITED

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• There is a clear but slim favourite here. Tamworth is the shortest price on a book of 2.25 / 3.6 / 2.7 (1 / X / 2), an implied 40.7%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 40.7% / 25.4% / 33.9% on an overround of 9.3%.

• In the league table Tamworth sit 22nd on 8 points (2W 2D 6L) with Sutton United 10th on 17 points (5W 2D 3L).

• Tamworth read L-W-L-L-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 1D 4L) — poor.

• Sutton United read D-D-W-L-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 2D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Head to head the record reads 2-1-2 — Tamworth wins, draws, then Sutton United wins. Their last meeting finished Tamworth - Sutton United: 0-1.

• Our last-six model flags 4 qualifying strikes here. Reading Tamworth first, then Sutton United, out of their last six: O 2.50 6 and 3, O 3.50 5 and 1, HT U 1.50 2 and 5, GG 6 and 3.

• The read: With barely anything between them on price, this is one to leave alone in the 1X2 market and attack in the goals or handicap markets instead.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 29th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.