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30th September INDEPENDIENTE MEDELLIN - MILLONARIOS

PREVIEW

  • Wed 02:05 Independiente Medellin Vs Millonarios
  • Game for: 4th round of Primera A
  • Last Game: Independiente Medellin - Millonarios: 1-0
  • History of Games: 3-1-2

Standing

PTeamWDLPtsForm
6Independiente Medellin61319LWDLWW
4Millonarios55220DWWDDL

6th (IN PRIMERA A )

  • League : This is the 6th home game this season.
  • Home Record : 4W - 0D - 1L
  • Last Game : Junior Fc - Independiente Medellin: 2-0
  • Next Game : 06 Oct Independiente Medellin - Santa Fe

4th (IN PRIMERA A )

  • League : This is the 8th away game this season.
  • Away Record : 3W - 3D - 1L
  • Last Game : Atletico Nacional - Millonarios: 1-1
  • Next Game : 09 Oct Fortaleza Fc - Millonarios

KEY STATS BASED ON LAST 6 GAMES

  • HT DRAW
    LDDLDD
    Independiente Medellin02:05Millonarios
    DDWDLD
  • O 2.50
    OOOOOU
    Independiente Medellin02:05Millonarios
    OUUOOU
  • GG
    YNYYYN
    Independiente Medellin02:05Millonarios
    YYYYNY
  • HT GG
    YNYYYN
    Independiente Medellin02:05Millonarios
    YNNNNY

KEY STATS BASED ON ALL GAMES

Team

GAMES

Record

Next Game

HT DRAWIndependiente Medellin142 W - 10 D - 2 L
02:05
Independiente Medellin - Millonarios
X()
U 2.50Independiente Medellin143 O - 11 U
02:05
Independiente Medellin - Millonarios
U2.5(1.82)

Odds

Independiente Medellin Win: 2.37

DRAW: 3.20

Millonarios Win: 3.17

Prices are indicative and sourced from a range of bookmakers, and may differ from those of any individual bookmaker.

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Game Analysis

  • The market leans one way without any real conviction. Independiente Medellin is the shortest price on a book of 2.37 / 3.20 / 3.17 (1 / X / 2), an implied 40.2%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 40.2% / 29.8% / 30.0% on an overround of 5.0%.

  • The draw is unusually well backed at 3.20 (29.8%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

  • In the league table Independiente Medellin sit 6th on 19 points (6W 1D 3L) with Millonarios 4th on 20 points (5W 5D 2L).

  • Independiente Medellin read L-W-D-L-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 1D 2L) — patchy.

  • Millonarios read D-W-W-D-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 3D 1L) — patchy.

  • Head to head the record reads 3-1-2 — Independiente Medellin wins, draws, then Millonarios wins. Their last meeting finished Independiente Medellin - Millonarios: 1-0.

  • Our last-six model flags 4 qualifying strikes here. Reading Independiente Medellin first, then Millonarios, out of their last six: HT DRAW 4 and 4, O 2.50 5 and 3, GG 4 and 5, HT GG 4 and 2.

  • Independiente Medellin lean hardest on Jeison Medina (9.5), Kevin Mantilla (9.4), Didier Moreno (8.9) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

  • Millonarios lean hardest on Javier Burrai (9.5), Stiven Barreiro (9.3), Sergio Mosquera (8.8) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

  • The read: Independiente Medellin at 2.37 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

  • This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 29th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.


Category: Previews

Written by: BTFNews

Date: 06:50 29 Sep, 2026