28th September LEON - FC JUAREZ

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• A heavy favourite, with the price to match. Leon is the shortest price on a book of 1.51 / 4.10 / 6.00 (1 / X / 2), an implied 61.7%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 61.7% / 22.7% / 15.5% on an overround of 7.3%.

• In the league table Leon sit 7th on 14 points (4W 2D 3L) with Fc Juarez 18th on 3 points (1W 0D 8L).

• Leon read D-W-L-D-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 2D 1L) — patchy.

• Fc Juarez read W-L-L-L-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 0D 5L) — a badly out of sorts side.

• Head to head the record reads 5-0-1 — Leon wins, draws, then Fc Juarez wins. Their last meeting finished Leon - Fc Juarez: 3-1.

• Our last-six model flags 2 qualifying strikes here. Reading Leon first, then Fc Juarez, out of their last six: HT DRAW 3 and 5, HT U 1.50 6 and 5.

• Leon lean hardest on Juan Guevara (9.5), Ivan Moreno (9.1), Fernando Beltran (9.0) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Fc Juarez lean hardest on Sebastian Jurado (9.5), Jose Luis Rodriguez (9.0), Gilberto Sepulveda (9.0) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Leon at 1.51 is short enough that the value, if there is any, sits on the handicap or in the goals market rather than the outright.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 27th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.