28th September FORTALEZA FC - TOLIMA

Prices are indicative and sourced from a range of bookmakers, and may differ from those of any individual bookmaker.

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• There is a clear but slim favourite here. Tolima is the shortest price on a book of 3.4 / 3.1 / 2.25 (1 / X / 2), an implied 41.9%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 27.7% / 30.4% / 41.9% on an overround of 6.1%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.1 (30.4%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Fortaleza Fc sit 15th on 8 points (1W 5D 4L) with Tolima 7th on 17 points (5W 2D 3L).

• Fortaleza Fc read L-D-D-L-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (0W 3D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Tolima read D-L-L-W-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 1D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Head to head the record reads 0-3-3 — Fortaleza Fc wins, draws, then Tolima wins. Their last meeting finished Tolima - Fortaleza Fc: 2-0.

• Our last-six model flags 3 qualifying strikes here. Reading Fortaleza Fc first, then Tolima, out of their last six: HT DRAW 2 and 5, O 2.50 5 and 3, GG 5 and 4.

• Tolima lean hardest on Alvino Volpi Neto (9.5), Anderson Angulo (9.2), Jan Angulo (9.1) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Tolima at 2.25 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 27th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.