27th September ALL BLACKS - SAMARTEX

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• The market has a firm view on this one. All Blacks is the shortest price on a book of 1.87 / 2.91 / 4.10 (1 / X / 2), an implied 47.6%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 47.6% / 30.6% / 21.7% on an overround of 12.2%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 2.91 (30.6%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table All Blacks sit 6th on 4 points (1W 1D 1L) with Samartex 2nd on 7 points (2W 1D 0L).

• All Blacks read D-W-L-W-L-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 2D 2L) — patchy.

• Samartex read D-W-W-L-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 1D 2L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 1-0-1 — All Blacks wins, draws, then Samartex wins. Their last meeting finished All Blacks - Samartex: 1-0.

• Our last-six model flags 2 qualifying strikes here. Reading All Blacks first, then Samartex, out of their last six: U 2.50 5 and 4, U 1.50 4 and 2.

• The read: All Blacks at 1.87 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 26th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.