26th September CERRO LARGO - NACIONAL

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• This is priced as a comfortable favourite. Nacional is the shortest price on a book of 4.50 / 3.40 / 1.67 (1 / X / 2), an implied 53.7%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 19.9% / 26.4% / 53.7% on an overround of 11.5%.

• In the league table Cerro Largo sit 12th on 5 points (0W 5D 2L) with Nacional 8th on 11 points (3W 2D 2L).

• Cerro Largo read L-D-L-D-D-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (0W 4D 2L) — patchy.

• Nacional read W-D-D-W-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 2D 1L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 0-0-2 — Cerro Largo wins, draws, then Nacional wins. Their last meeting finished Nacional - Cerro Largo: 2-1.

• Nacional lean hardest on Renato Marin (9.5), Miguel Baeza (9.2), Matheus Dias (9.1) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Nacional at 1.67 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 25th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.