25th September DUNFERMLINE - PARTICK THISTLE

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• There is barely a price between the sides. Dunfermline is the shortest price on a book of 2.53 / 3.36 / 2.69 (1 / X / 2), an implied 37.1%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 37.1% / 28.0% / 34.9% on an overround of 6.5%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.36 (28.0%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Dunfermline sit 4th on 12 points (3W 3D 1L) with Partick Thistle 3rd on 12 points (3W 3D 1L).

• Dunfermline read W-W-D-W-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 1D 2L) — patchy.

• Partick Thistle read D-L-W-D-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 3D 2L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 0-2-4 — Dunfermline wins, draws, then Partick Thistle wins. Their last meeting finished Partick Thistle - Dunfermline: 2-1.

• Our last-six model flags 3 qualifying strikes here. Reading Dunfermline first, then Partick Thistle, out of their last six: HT DRAW 4 and 3, U 2.50 5 and 5, HT U 1.50 5 and 5.

• The read: Everything here points at a tight, low-tempo game. The draw at 3.36 is the selection the numbers keep coming back to, and the unders are the natural second look.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 24th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.