2nd September KILMARNOCK - ST. MIRREN

The market cannot separate these two. St. Mirren is the shortest price on a book of 2.75 / 3.3 / 2.4 (1 / X / 2), an implied 38.5%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 33.6% / 28.0% / 38.5% on an overround of 8.3%.

The draw is unusually well backed at 3.3 (28.0%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

In the league table Kilmarnock sit 12th on 0 points (0W 0D 3L) with St. Mirren 2nd on 7 points (2W 1D 0L).

Kilmarnock read L-W-L-L-D-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 1D 3L) — more bad than good.

St. Mirren read D-L-W-W-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 1D 2L) — patchy.

Head to head the record reads 3-2-1 — Kilmarnock wins, draws, then St. Mirren wins. Their last meeting finished St. Mirren - Kilmarnock: 0-3.

Our last-six model flags 2 qualifying strikes here. Reading Kilmarnock first, then St. Mirren, out of their last six: O 3.50 4 and 3, HT O 1.50 4 and 3.

The read: Everything here points at a tight, low-tempo game. The draw at 3.3 is the selection the numbers keep coming back to, and the unders are the natural second look.

This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 19:00 on 1st September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.