22nd September CUIABA - NAUTICO

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• This is priced as a comfortable favourite. Cuiaba is the shortest price on a book of 2.01 / 3.4 / 3.7 (1 / X / 2), an implied 46.9%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 46.9% / 27.7% / 25.5% on an overround of 6.2%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.4 (27.7%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Cuiaba sit 13th on 40 points (9W 13D 6L) with Nautico 14th on 38 points (10W 8D 10L).

• Cuiaba read D-W-L-W-D-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 2D 1L) — patchy.

• Nautico read D-L-W-W-D-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 2D 1L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 0-0-1 — Cuiaba wins, draws, then Nautico wins. Their last meeting finished Nautico - Cuiaba: 1-0.

• Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Cuiaba first, then Nautico, out of their last six: HT DRAW 3 and 3.

• The read: Cuiaba at 2.01 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 21st September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.