1st September INSTITUTO - SAN LORENZO

This is priced as a comfortable favourite. Instituto is the shortest price on a book of 1.86 / 3.2 / 4.75 (1 / X / 2), an implied 50.7%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 50.7% / 29.5% / 19.8% on an overround of 6.1%.

The draw is unusually well backed at 3.2 (29.5%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

In the league table Instituto sit 2nd on 36 points (12W 0D 1L) with San Lorenzo 13th on 3 points (1W 0D 3L).

Instituto read D-W-W-W-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (4W 1D 1L) — a strong recent run.

San Lorenzo read D-W-L-L-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 1D 3L) — more bad than good.

Head to head the record reads 0-1-2 — Instituto wins, draws, then San Lorenzo wins. Their last meeting finished San Lorenzo - Instituto: 1-1.

Our last-six model flags 5 qualifying strikes here. Reading Instituto first, then San Lorenzo, out of their last six: HT DRAW 4 and 4, U 2.50 5 and 6, U 1.50 5 and 5, HT U 1.50 6 and 6, NG 5 and 6.

The read: Instituto at 1.86 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 09:33 on 31st August 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.