The market has a firm view on this one. Merida is the shortest price on a book of 1.97 / 3.30 / 3.34 (1 / X / 2), an implied 45.7%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 45.7% / 27.3% / 27.0% on an overround of 11.0%.

The draw is unusually well backed at 3.30 (27.3%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

In the table Merida sit 2 on points (W D L) with Rc Deportivo Fabril 5 on points (W D L).

Rc Deportivo Fabril come in on D-W-L-W-W-W from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L) — a strong recent run.

The read: Merida at 1.97 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 18:54 on 29th August 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.