19th September NEW YORK CITY FC - NEW YORK RED BULLS

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• The market has a firm view on this one. New York City Fc is the shortest price on a book of 1.76 / 4.10 / 3.90 (1 / X / 2), an implied 53.2%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 53.2% / 22.8% / 24.0% on an overround of 6.8%.

• In the league table New York City Fc sit 17th on 32 points (8W 8D 9L) with New York Red Bulls 18th on 30 points (8W 6D 11L).

• New York City Fc read W-L-D-D-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 3D 2L) — patchy.

• New York Red Bulls read W-L-D-L-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 2D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Head to head the record reads 5-0-1 — New York City Fc wins, draws, then New York Red Bulls wins. Their last meeting finished New York Red Bulls - New York City Fc: 1-3.

• Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading New York City Fc first, then New York Red Bulls, out of their last six: U 2.50 4 and 5.

• New York City Fc team news: Pascal Jansen may opt to keep the same starting line-up for Friday's match after a solid performance against Real Salt Lake.

• New York City Fc team news: Kai Trewin and Talles Magno are among six players definitely missing for the hosts.

• New York Red Bulls team news: Adri Mehmeti, who featured against Columbus Crew last time, is set to begin again on Friday.

• New York Red Bulls team news: Devin Padelford is likely to be introduced to the New York Red Bulls' defence.

• New York City Fc are without 6 — Maxi Moralez (Out - injured), Kai Trewin (Out - injured), Keaton Parks (Out - injured), Talles Magno (Out - injured), Arnau Farnós (Out - injured), Drew Baiera (Out - injured).

• New York Red Bulls are without 3 — Justin Che (Doubtful - injured), AJ Marcucci (Out - injured), Rafael Mosquera (Out - injured).

• Early lineups are in: New York City Fc set up 4-2-3-1 against 4-3-3. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.

• New York City Fc lean hardest on Thiago Martins (8.2), James Sands (8.2), Matt Freese (8.2) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Keaton Parks is out for New York City Fc — index 6.1, against 9.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• New York Red Bulls lean hardest on Tim Parker (6.7), Ethan Horvath (6.7), Cade Cowell (6.7) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Justin Che is out for New York Red Bulls — index 9.2, against 8.8 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• The projected score for this one is New York City Fc 2 - 1 New York Red Bulls, a home win by 1 with 3 goals in it — on the right side of the 2.5 line.

• The read: New York City Fc at 1.76 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 18th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.