19th September AJAX - EXCELSIOR
- Sat 19:00
Ajax Vs Excelsior
- Game for: 7th round of Eredivisie
- Take Place: Amsterdam Arena ( 53.052 )
- Last Game: Excelsior - Ajax: 2-2
- History of Games: 1-4-1
- Predicted Score: Ajax 3 - 1 Excelsior
Standing
| P | Team | W | D | L | Pts | Form |
| 4 | Ajax | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | WWLWWW |
| 6 | Excelsior | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | LDWWLW |
4th (IN EREDIVISIE )
- League : This is the 4th home game this season.
- Home Record : 1W - 1D - 1L
- Last Game : Ajax - Willem Ii: 5-1
- Next Game : 10 Oct Ajax - Nec Nijmegen
6th (IN EREDIVISIE )
- League : This is the 4th away game this season.
- Away Record : 2W - 1D - 0L
- Last Game : Excelsior - Fc Utrecht: 1-2
- Next Game : 11 Oct Excelsior - Fc Groningen
KEY STATS BASED ON LAST 6 GAMES
O 2.50 OOOOOOAjax 19:00 Excelsior OOOOOO
KEY STATS BASED ON ALL GAMES
Team | GAMES | Record | Next Game |
| O 2.50Ajax | 8 | 8 O - 0 U | 19:00 Ajax - Excelsior O2.5(1.25) |
| O 3.50Ajax | 8 | 8 O - 0 U | 19:00 Ajax - Excelsior O3.5(1.67) |
| GR 4-6Ajax | 8 | 7 Y - 1 N | 19:00 Ajax - Excelsior Odd |
Probable Lineups
( 4-3-3 ) Ajax
Excelsior ( 4-2-3-1 )
- Stegen
- Henrique
- Baas
- Kehrer
- Gaaei
- Brandt
- Amrabat
- Klaassen
- Gloukh
- Arokodare
- Berghuis
- Gassel
- Bos
- Plug
- Widell
- Moreira
- Meissen
- Hartjes
- Thorsteinsson
- Yegoian
- Sliti
- Garden
- Player Index: how much of this team's football each player accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Injuries and Suspensions
AjaxVsExcelsior
| Player | Rating | Status |
| Aaron Bouwman | 7.04 | Out - injured |
| Daley Blind | - | Out - injured |
| Simon Adingra | - | Out - injured |
| Player | Rating | Status |
- Rating: season rating out of 10; players without one yet show a dash. ★ marks a player this side particularly relies on.
Team News
Míchel is still without Daley Blind, Simon Adingra and Aaron Bouwman, but otherwise has a strong squad to pick from after rotating heavily in midweek.
Marc-André ter Stegen is likely to start behind Anton Gaaei, Thilo Kehrer, Youri Baas and Caio Henrique. Kehrer and Baas were central to Ajax’s build-up against Willem II, completing 99 and 106 passes respectively as the hosts pinned their opponents deep.
Davy Klaassen, Sofyan Amrabat and Julian Brandt are set to form the midfield trio. Klaassen and Brandt are Ajax’s joint top scorers with three league goals each, while Amrabat provides the side with more control when they push numbers forward.
Further forward, Steven Berghuis and Oscar Gloukh are expected to support Tolu Arokodare. Gloukh tops the Eredivisie for big chances created with five and has provided three assists, making his movement between the lines one of Ajax’s most potent creative tools.
Ruben den Uil has a fully fit squad, giving him options after last weekend’s narrow loss. Stijn van Gassel is set to continue in goal behind Eric da Silva Moreira, Casper Widell, Jan Plug and Kasey Bos.
Lennard Hartjes and Rick Meissen look set to occupy the double pivot roles. Their positioning will be vital against an Ajax midfield expected to dominate possession and frequently target Gloukh and Brandt in the spaces between the lines.
Aymen Sliti, Yegoian and Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson are likely to operate in the spaces behind Garden. Yegoian has already provided four assists and created four big chances, highlighting his significance when Excelsior turn defensive recoveries into rapid attacks.
Garden is the visitors' top scorer with three league goals, while Sliti arrives after netting against Utrecht. Excelsior have found the net 13 times in six games and remain unbeaten away from home, so Ajax must be wary of direct transitions even if they hold most of the ball.
Odds
Ajax Win: 1.22
DRAW: 7
Excelsior Win: 10
Prices are indicative and sourced from a range of bookmakers, and may differ from those of any individual bookmaker.
Live Football on TV
| Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN Extra HD, ESPN Watch |
Game Analysis
The market expects a one-sided afternoon. Ajax is the shortest price on a book of 1.22 / 7 / 10 (1 / X / 2), an implied 77.1%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 77.1% / 13.4% / 9.4% on an overround of 6.3%.
In the league table Ajax sit 4th on 13 points (4W 1D 1L) with Excelsior 6th on 10 points (3W 1D 2L).
Ajax read W-W-L-W-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (5W 0D 1L) — about as good as form gets.
Excelsior read L-D-W-W-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 1D 2L) — patchy.
Head to head the record reads 1-4-1 — Ajax wins, draws, then Excelsior wins. Their last meeting finished Excelsior - Ajax: 2-2.
Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Ajax first, then Excelsior, out of their last six: O 2.50 6 and 6.
Ajax team news: Míchel is still without Daley Blind, Simon Adingra and Aaron Bouwman, but otherwise has a strong squad to pick from after rotating heavily in midweek.
Ajax team news: Marc-André ter Stegen is likely to start behind Anton Gaaei, Thilo Kehrer, Youri Baas and Caio Henrique. Kehrer and Baas were central to Ajax’s build-up against Willem II, completing 99 and 106 passes respectively as the hosts pinned their opponents deep.
Excelsior team news: Ruben den Uil has a fully fit squad, giving him options after last weekend’s narrow loss. Stijn van Gassel is set to continue in goal behind Eric da Silva Moreira, Casper Widell, Jan Plug and Kasey Bos.
Excelsior team news: Lennard Hartjes and Rick Meissen look set to occupy the double pivot roles. Their positioning will be vital against an Ajax midfield expected to dominate possession and frequently target Gloukh and Brandt in the spaces between the lines.
Ajax are without 3 — Aaron Bouwman (Out - injured), Daley Blind (Out - injured), Simon Adingra (Out - injured).
Early lineups are in: Ajax set up 4-3-3 against 4-2-3-1. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.
Ajax lean hardest on Davy Klaassen (8.0), Julian Brandt (8.0), Sofyan Amrabat (8.0) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Aaron Bouwman is out for Ajax — index 6.0, against 8.7 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Excelsior lean hardest on Lennard Hartjes (7.5), Rick Meissen (7.5), Casper Widell (7.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
The projected score for this one is Ajax 3 - 1 Excelsior, a home win by 2 with 4 goals in it — on the right side of the 2.5 line.
The read: Ajax at 1.22 is short enough that the value, if there is any, sits on the handicap or in the goals market rather than the outright.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 18th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.