19th September ALBIREX NIIGATA - JUBILO IWATA

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• There is a clear but slim favourite here. Jubilo Iwata is the shortest price on a book of 3.10 / 3.20 / 2.20 (1 / X / 2), an implied 41.7%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 29.6% / 28.7% / 41.7% on an overround of 9.0%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.20 (28.7%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Albirex Niigata sit 1st on 12 points (4W 0D 2L) with Jubilo Iwata 8th on 10 points (3W 1D 2L).

• Albirex Niigata read W-L-W-W-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (4W 0D 2L) — a strong recent run.

• Jubilo Iwata read W-L-W-W-L-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 1D 2L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 0-2-4 — Albirex Niigata wins, draws, then Jubilo Iwata wins. Their last meeting finished Albirex Niigata - Jubilo Iwata: 2-2.

• Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Albirex Niigata first, then Jubilo Iwata, out of their last six: BEST-WORST (2 wins against 1 defeats).

• The read: Jubilo Iwata at 2.20 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 18th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.